US Mesoscale Discussions

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1054

   Mesoscale Discussion 1054
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0400 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

   Areas affected...portions of western Texas

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 344...

   Valid 282100Z - 282230Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 344 continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Tornado Watch 344.
   Large hail should be the main threat, though a couple of tornadoes
   may still occur with one of the longer-lasting, dominant supercells.
   Severe gusts would become an increasing concern if storm mergers

   DISCUSSION...Multiple multicells and supercells are progressing
   across the western TX Panhandle, with several having a history of
   large hail. Current thinking is that these storms will progress
   eastward while percolating in intensity, with a continued threat of
   large hail (perhaps exceeding 2 inches in diameter). Regional VADs
   show elongated hodographs, but with modest (at best) curvature in
   the lowest few km. As such, the tornado threat should be limited to
   any of the more dominant, discrete supercells that can become
   long-lived. Should storms merge into an MCS, severe winds would
   become the main threat, and a 65+ kt gust or two cannot be ruled

   ..Squitieri.. 05/28/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   34650310 34780211 34600045 33920006 33180015 33000137
               33080252 33190306 34650310 

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