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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1026












Mesoscale Discussion 1026
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1026
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0701 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024

   Areas affected...Southern Georgia

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 334...

   Valid 280001Z - 280130Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 334
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat across WW 334 continues, but will be
   more focused over the next hour or so across south-central Georgia
   where a more organized thunderstorm cluster will pose a severe wind
   threat.

   DISCUSSION...Convection continues to percolate across much of
   southern AL into central/southern GA. Recent MRMS trends show that
   the clustered nature of the storms has limited storm longevity and
   organization thus far, though a few more intense updrafts remain
   evident in GOES IR imagery, suggesting that sporadic/isolated severe
   hail and damaging winds remain possible across the region. 

   A more focused/higher severe threat has materialized across far
   southern GA where cold pool amalgamation has resulted in a more
   organized cluster. Radar imagery from KVAX shows hints at horizontal
   convective rolls extending southwest to northeast aligned with the
   low-level wind. This feature suggests that a well-mixed, buoyant
   boundary layer remains in place immediately downstream of this
   cluster, and that low-level convergence should be enhanced on the
   southwestern flank of the cold pool, resulting in an increasingly
   southward propagation of the cluster. Consequently, the threat for
   damaging winds appears to be increasing across southern GA and
   potentially into far northern FL.

   ..Moore.. 05/28/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   30518313 30598338 30758345 30958351 31188351 31338339
               31468290 31368254 31148219 30998196 30628194 30468210
               30478242 30488287 30518313 


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