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| Mesoscale Discussion 1001 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1001 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0943 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Areas affected...TX South Plains Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333... Valid 270243Z - 270345Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333 continues. SUMMARY...A localized severe threat should persist across a portion of the Texas South Plains before weakening by Midnight CDT. An additional watch is not expected. DISCUSSION...A pair of supercells persist in/near the southwest corner of WW 333 along the NM/TX border. The lack of low-level jet response ahead of this activity, with only weak easterlies, and increasing MLCIN with southeast extent, per modified 00Z MAF sounding, suggest that storms should diminish towards midnight. Still, given the longer-lived organization will support a brief tornado and large hail threat until the updrafts subside. ..Grams/Mosier.. 05/27/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 33380268 33240231 33040186 32820171 32590177 32500200 32490244 32680279 32960296 33380268 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN |
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