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| Mesoscale Discussion 1000 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1000 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0857 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Areas affected...south-central/southeast TX Concerning...Tornado Watch 331... Valid 270157Z - 270330Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 331 continues. SUMMARY...Destructive wind gusts and brief tornadoes should remain probable with an intense QLCS moving east-southeast from central into southeast Texas, where an additional watch will be issued. DISCUSSION...The northern end of an intense QLCS has consistently had 80-90 kt inbound velocities upon approach to the KGRK radar, at or above 800 ft AGL. Thus far, measured surface gusts have only reached 50 kts, but will likely increase as this surge crosses I-35 and accelerates eastward into southeast TX. A separate severe wind swath should form where an intense supercell remnant will spread north-northeast of the KEWX radar. Transient mesovortices will pose an enhanced threat for destructive wind gusts/brief tornadoes. ..Grams/Mosier.. 05/27/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX... LAT...LON 31049761 31099711 31129643 30689612 30299617 29839623 29579645 29389686 29309739 29309773 29369817 29649831 29959800 31049761 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...85-100 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN |
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