US Mesoscale Discussions

SPC MD 1415

Published Date and Time: 2026-07-01 11:13:00



MD 1415 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH POSSIBLE FOR CENTRAL WISCONSIN


Mesoscale Discussion 1415
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1011 AM CDT Wed Jul 01 2026

Areas affected...central Wisconsin

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

Valid 011511Z - 011645Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...The severe weather threat is increasing across central
Wisconsin.

DISCUSSION...Storms on the southern end of a storm cluster across
western Wisconsin have started to increase in intensity recently.
The airmass ahead of these storms continues to destabilize with
dewpoints in the low to mid 70s and temperatures in the low to mid
80s. A localized corridor of higher severe weather threat may exist
with this activity as it moves east along the outflow boundary from
morning convection through the late morning and early afternoon.
Isolated large hail and damaging winds will be the primary threats.

..Bentley/Guyer.. 07/01/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...ARX...

LAT...LON   43338848 43218934 43219052 43739074 43949037 44198896
            44078789 43778769 43418789 43338848 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN

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