Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 17 2026
000
FOPZ11 KNHC 171438
PWSEP1
HURRICANE TRUDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212026
1500 UTC SAT OCT 17 2026
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TRUDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 3( 3) 44(47) 12(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) 10(10) 10(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAN BLAS 34 X 3( 3) 23(26) 4(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31)
P VALLARTA 34 X 23(23) 26(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
P VALLARTA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 18 72(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X 21(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MANZANILLO 34 74 20(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
MANZANILLO 50 1 17(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
MANZANILLO 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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