Hurricane Rachel Forecast Advisory Number 31

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 042031
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
2100 UTC SUN OCT 04 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 114.3W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 114.3W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 114.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.2N 115.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.3N 116.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.4N 118.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 20.6N 119.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 20.9N 121.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.4N 122.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 22.3N 125.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 22.6N 127.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 114.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI