Hurricane Rachel Forecast Advisory Number 22

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 021449
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
1500 UTC FRI OCT 02 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 110.8W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 130SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 240SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 110.8W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 110.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.3N 111.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 120SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.6N 112.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.8N 112.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.0N 113.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.2N 115.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.3N 116.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 20.8N 119.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 21.7N 122.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 110.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN