Hurricane Polo Forecast Advisory Number 23

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 260849
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172026
0900 UTC SAT SEP 26 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 111.0W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  917 MB
EYE DIAMETER   5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE  80SE  90SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 210SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 111.0W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 110.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.3N 112.1W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.7N 113.3W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 21.5N 113.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 23.4N 113.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 25.1N 113.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 26.9N 111.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 30.3N 107.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 111.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 26/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN