Hurricane Polo Forecast Advisory Number 16

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 241439
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172026
1500 UTC THU SEP 24 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 104.4W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  928 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  35SE  35SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  45NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 104.4W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 103.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.0N 105.8W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.1N 107.8W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.4N 109.6W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.2N 111.2W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.4N 112.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 21.1N 113.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 24.4N 113.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 27.0N 111.1W...GULF OF CALIFORNIA
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 104.4W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 24/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN