Hurricane Fausto Forecast Advisory Number 16

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 222032
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062026
2100 UTC WED JUL 22 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 122.0W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  70SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 210SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 122.0W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 121.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.5N 123.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.9N 126.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  70SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.2N 128.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  70SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.4N 131.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  70SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.7N 134.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE  70SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.0N 136.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  70SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 19.7N 141.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  70SW 110NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 20.4N 146.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 122.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI