Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2067

   Mesoscale Discussion 2067
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0110 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

   Areas affected...portions of the central Gulf Coast into
   central/southern Georgia

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 211810Z - 212015Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Widely scattered to scattered thunderstorms may pose a
   risk for isolated damaging downburst wind gusts through this
   evening. Watch issuance appears unlikely at this time.

   DISCUSSION...Isolated thunderstorms are ongoing across west-central
   Alabama and southern Georgia as of 1800 UTC, with additional
   development expected along a remnant outflow boundary and within
   pockets of modestly enhanced surface convergence across the region
   through the afternoon. High PW (1.75-2.0+ inches) and steepening
   low-level lapse rates will foster at least an isolated risk for
   damaging wind gusts with water-loaded downbursts; however,
   marginally cooler temperatures (low 90s F) and modestly weaker
   low-to-mid level flow (less than 15-20 kts per area VWPs) suggest
   the coverage and magnitude of the severe risk may be somewhat more
   limited compared to areas farther west. Given this, the need for a
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch is more uncertain but appears unlikely at
   this time. Trends will continue to be monitored, and a watch could
   be considered should a corridor of greater damaging wind gust
   potential become evident.

   ..Chalmers/Smith.. 08/21/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

   LAT...LON   30618401 30338569 30488632 30828677 31338705 31938709
               32268681 32498648 33168410 33328308 33228222 33018191
               32638160 32308146 31788150 31268179 30998225 30838276
               30618401 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH