Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1577

   Mesoscale Discussion 1577
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0330 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

   Areas affected...portions of the North Carolina Piedmont

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 102030Z - 102230Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A locally greater risk for damaging wind gusts is likely
   to materialize across the North Carolina Piedmont over the next
   several hours.

   DISCUSSION...Aided by subtly enhanced mid-level flow associated with
   a remnant mid-level MCV, convection has loosely organized into a
   linear band across portions of central North Carolina over the past
   1-2 hours, with several reports of damaging wind gusts (and a
   measured 43 kt wind gust) noted in the Charlotte vicinity. While
   further appreciable organization remains unlikely owing to weak
   deep-layer shear, this loosely organized band is impinging on a hot
   (temperatures approaching 100 F) and moist low-level air mass with
   both high PW and steep low-level lapse rates. This is expected to
   result in a locally greater threat for water-loaded downbursts and
   damaging wind gusts (largely in the 45-55 mph range, locally higher)
   across the North Carolina Piedmont through this evening.

   ..Chalmers/Smith.. 07/10/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...

   LAT...LON   36477903 36537866 36497810 36387785 36137761 35707764
               35317784 34917817 34707875 34707959 34788031 34888063
               35198063 35987983 36477903 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH