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| Mesoscale Discussion 1577 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1577 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0811 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024 Areas affected...Northwest NO...northeast KS...extreme southeast NE Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 519... Valid 110111Z - 110245Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 519 continues. SUMMARY...Some threat for isolated hail and damaging wind may persist through the evening. DISCUSSION...While much of the deep convection across the region has tended to weaken this evening, a vigorous cell is currently ongoing near St. Joseph, MO, with other stronger storms noted across extreme southeast NE. There is some potential for the stronger storms from extreme northeast KS into northwest MO to continue southeastward for another 1-2 hours as they track along or just to the cool side of an outflow boundary that is sagging southwestward across the region. Moderate buoyancy and effective shear around 30 kt could continue to support occasionally organized storms, with an isolated hail and damaging-wind threat. Storms should generally weaken by late evening due to increasing MLCINH, and additional watch issuance is not anticipated. However, some severe threat could spread south of WW 319 before a more definitive weakening trend occurs. ..Dean.. 07/11/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP... LAT...LON 40639634 40419529 39999472 39129434 38899492 38949552 39299609 39799629 40639634 |
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