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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1243

Published Date and Time: 2026-06-21 23:40:00



Mesoscale Discussion 1243
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1243
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1036 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026

   Areas affected...portions of southwestern Kansas...Oklahoma and
   Texas Panhandles...northwestern Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 367...368...371...

   Valid 220336Z - 220430Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 367, 368,
   371 continues.

   SUMMARY...Numerous additional 50+ kt convective gusts are expected
   with an approaching MCS over the next few hours. A few gusts could
   exceed 75 mph.

   DISCUSSION...A cold-pool-driven MCS, with a history of numerous
   measured 50+ kt gusts, continues to propagate southeast into a
   highly unstable/sheared airmass. KVNX inbound velocity data depicts
   a descending rear-inflow jet at the apex of a bowing structure
   embedded within the MCS, which should serve as the impetus for
   numerous additional 50+ kt gusts over the next few hours,
   particularly over northwestern OK. Given the highly organized MCS
   structure interacting with such a favorably destabilized/sheared
   environment, a few gusts may exceed 75 mph.

   ..Squitieri.. 06/22/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

   LAT...LON   36960196 36920096 36939980 37349854 37399777 37219718
               36909699 36549697 36199730 36019805 35949936 35900008
               35930127 36960196 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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