Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1243

   Mesoscale Discussion 1243
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0631 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

   Areas affected...Portions of central and eastern Minnesota

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405...

   Valid 122331Z - 130030Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A localized tornado threat is evolving over portions of
   central/eastern Minnesota. The area is being considered for a small
   tornado watch.

   DISCUSSION...Following several splitting supercells along a surface
   trough/wind shift over central/eastern MN, latest radar data shows
   dominant right-moving thunderstorms taking shape. This evolution is
   being aided by an increasingly large, clockwise-turning low-level
   hodograph (around 300 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH per MPX VWP). Given this
   hodograph and favorable low-level moisture in place downstream of
   the intensifying storms, a localized tornado risk is possible for
   the next couple hours. The area is being considered for a small
   tornado watch.

   ..Weinman/Smith.. 06/12/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...

   LAT...LON   46649407 47079295 47049249 46719207 46149253 45439387
               45389472 45499529 45859514 46649407