Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1098

   Mesoscale Discussion 1098
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0556 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

   Areas affected...Parts of central/northeast OK...southeast KS...and
   southwest MO

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 314...316...

   Valid 112256Z - 120030Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 314, 316
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Risk of large hail and damaging winds spreading eastward
   across central/northeastern Oklahoma and southeast Kansas -- within
   Severe Thunderstorm Watches 314 and 316.

   DISCUSSION...Semi-discrete supercell structures are evolving
   eastward along a northeast/southwest-oriented cold front extending
   from southeast KS across northeast/central OK. Along this segment of
   the cold front, around 30 kt of deep-layer shear (per VWP data) and
   storm motions directed off the boundary should continue to promote
   semi-discrete supercell structures with a risk of large hail and
   damaging winds in the near term. With time, an increasingly parallel
   component of the deep-layer flow/shear to the front and
   strengthening cold pools should favor upscale growth into a line of
   storms, which will promote more of a damaging wind risk.

   ..Weinman.. 06/11/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...

   LAT...LON   35349842 35569796 36349660 37089548 37449495 37509434
               37299404 36859398 36259488 35679565 35209659 34929735
               34849780 34889815 35149847 35349842 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN