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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1051

Published Date and Time: 2026-06-09 19:16:00



Mesoscale Discussion 1051
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1051
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0545 PM CDT Tue Jun 09 2026

   Areas affected...portions of eastern Colorado...western and central
   Kansas...the Panhandles and northeastern New Mexico

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 293...295...

   Valid 092245Z - 100045Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 293, 295
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe wind gusts and hail remain likely with numerous
   strong to severe storms this afternoon and evening.

   DISCUSSION...Across WW293 and WW295, numerous strong to severe
   storms are ongoing with reports of damaging gusts and some hail over
   the last couple of hours. Much of the air mass remains strongly
   mixed, but with sufficient buoyancy for strong updrafts. This will
   support the risk for severe winds given the steep low-level lapse
   rates and observed cluster storm mode. Occasional hail is also
   possible given the stronger updrafts, though buoyancy will be
   somewhat of a limiting factor.

   The easternmost storms have begun to encounter greater buoyancy over
   parts of western and central KS. Occasional supercell structures
   have also been noted which, along with the increased buoyancy may
   also favor a locally greater risk for large hail over the next
   couple of hours.

   ..Lyons.. 06/09/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...
   ABQ...

   LAT...LON   37470347 39470195 40160163 40230044 40089757 38069784
               37699820 37129915 36800069 35560306 35500371 36090376
               37470347 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


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