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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1051

Mesoscale Discussion 1051
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1051
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0336 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

   Areas affected...portions of southwestern Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 345...

   Valid 282036Z - 282130Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 345

   SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
   Watch 345. Severe hail and wind remain the primary threats, with a
   couple instances of 2+ inch diameter hail and 65+ kt wind gusts
   possible. Significant severe wind gusts are most likely with merging
   storm clusters.

   DISCUSSION...Multicells with embedded transient supercells have
   developed over the Trans Pecos in the past few hours, with the KMAF
   radar showing 50 kft echo tops, and MRMS mosaic radar imagery
   showing MESH tracks potentially producing hail over 2 inches in
   diameter in spots. These storms will continue to track eastward amid
   a buoyant and strongly sheared airmass. The more dominant updrafts
   will remain capable of producing severe wind and hail for at least a
   few more hours. A couple stones may exceed 2 inches in diameter. If
   greater upscale growth into one or more pronounced MCSs occurs,
   severe gusts will become the main threat, with a few 65+ kt gusts

   ..Squitieri.. 05/28/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   30620327 31360331 32390283 32760170 32630037 31840008
               31030007 30160029 29830088 29830201 30620327 

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