Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1025

   Mesoscale Discussion 1025
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0446 AM CDT Mon Jun 08 2026

   Areas affected...Southwestern Nebraska

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 080946Z - 081145Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated large hail and severe gusts may occur with strong
   to occasionally severe storms in southwest Nebraska. A watch is not
   currently anticipated.

   DISCUSSION...Storm cells within southwest Nebraska have shown
   occasional increases in intensity over the past couple of hours.
   This activity is occurring near the intersection of a surface trough
   and cold front. Greater buoyancy is displaced farther to the south,
   but low 60s F dewpoints with southeasterly surface winds are
   supporting 1000-2000 J/kg MLCAPE. With steep mid-level lapse rates
   (per 00Z LBF sounding) and adequate effective shear, isolated large
   hail and severe gusts are possible. The primary question is whether
   storms can move southward and ingest greater moisture/buoyancy. This
   could occur if cold pools can congeal later this morning. However,
   with deepening of the surface low in western Kansas expected, storms
   may be undercut by the cold front and weaken before they can move
   southward.

   ..Wendt/Hart.. 06/08/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...BOU...

   LAT...LON   40150211 41430245 41880228 41810109 41090002 40319991
               40020037 39980152 40150211 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN