Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 841

   Mesoscale Discussion 0841
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0303 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026

   Areas affected...Central/northern Mississippi...southeast Arkansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 241...

   Valid 232003Z - 232130Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 241
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Though becoming more isolated with time, damaging winds
   will remain a concern into parts of northern Mississippi this
   afternoon. Additional watches are not expected.

   DISCUSSION...Trends in MRMS CAPPI data have shown a gradual downward
   trend in the intensity of the convective line moving north through
   Mississippi. This trend is expected to continue as greater effective
   shear values lift northward with time. That said, upper 60s F
   dewpoints in parts of northern Mississippi are supporting 2000 J/kg
   MLCAPE and low-level lapse rates are at least modestly steep. Wind
   damage will remain possible with the convective line as it lifts
   north, but this potential should become more isolated with time.

   ..Wendt.. 05/23/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...

   LAT...LON   33798860 33268858 32888895 32538937 32529008 32839094
               33029181 33409177 34189110 34168973 33798860 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH