Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Victor Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT25 KNHC 292042
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM VICTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202021
2100 UTC WED SEP 29 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  8.3N  25.5W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  8.3N  25.5W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  8.1N  25.1W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z  8.8N  26.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z  9.5N  28.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 10.3N  30.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 11.4N  32.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.8N  34.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 14.7N  35.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 19.3N  38.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 24.9N  40.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  8.3N  25.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




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