Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Victor Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT25 KNHC 011450
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM VICTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202021
1500 UTC FRI OCT 01 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N  33.5W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE  60SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  75SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N  33.5W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  33.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 12.0N  34.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  60SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.1N  36.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 14.7N  38.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.6N  40.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.7N  42.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.6N  43.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 23.6N  46.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 27.1N  46.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N  33.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY




Source link