Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Victor Forecast Advisory


817 
WTNT25 KNHC 301451
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM VICTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202021
1500 UTC THU SEP 30 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.5N  28.9W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 105SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.5N  28.9W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.2N  28.4W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 10.2N  30.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE  60SE  30SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 11.1N  32.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 12.4N  34.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.9N  35.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.7N  37.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.9N  39.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 23.2N  41.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 28.0N  42.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.5N  28.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





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