Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Rose Forecast Advisory


729 
WTNT22 KNHC 212035
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172021
2100 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  37.7W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  37.7W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  37.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.5N  38.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.8N  39.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.2N  40.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.5N  41.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 28.8N  40.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 29.8N  38.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 31.5N  33.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N  37.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





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