Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Rose Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT22 KNHC 211449
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172021
1500 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  36.9W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  36.9W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  36.6W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.8N  37.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 24.1N  38.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.4N  39.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 26.9N  40.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 28.3N  40.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 29.4N  39.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 31.5N  34.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N  36.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




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