Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Rose Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT22 KNHC 210836
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172021
0900 UTC TUE SEP 21 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  36.4W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  40SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  36.4W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  36.2W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.4N  37.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.8N  38.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.0N  39.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.4N  40.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 27.7N  41.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 29.0N  40.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 30.7N  36.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 32.8N  31.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N  36.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




Source link