324 WTPZ22 KNHC 222055 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172021 2100 UTC FRI OCT 22 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM EAST OF ZIHUATANEJO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA AND FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO MANZANILLO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ZIHUATANEJO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST OF ZIHUATANEJO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA * WEST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO MANZANILLO A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT OR TOMORROW MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE CURRENT WATCH AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 101.0W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 101.0W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 100.9W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.7N 101.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.6N 102.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.3N 102.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.1N 102.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.1N 103.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.3N 103.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 70SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 23.2N 103.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 101.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 23/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO/PASCH