Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Pamela Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ21 KNHC 130236
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM PAMELA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162021
0300 UTC WED OCT 13 2021

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAHIA TEMPEHUAYA TO ESCUINAPA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF BAHIA TEMPEHUAYA TO ALTATA
* SOUTH OF ESCUINAPA TO CABO CORRIENTES
* ISLAS MARIAS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
12 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 108.7W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  70SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 108.7W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 108.9W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 23.8N 106.9W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 110SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 26.6N 103.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.7N  99.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 108.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 13/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




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