Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Paine Forecast Advisory


294 
WTPZ22 KNHC 042036
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM PAINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172022
2100 UTC TUE OCT 04 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 113.3W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 15NE   0SE  45SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 113.3W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 113.2W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.3N 113.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.7N 114.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.0N 114.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.2N 115.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.2N 116.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 113.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





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