Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Newton Wind Speed Probabilities


294 
FOPZ15 KNHC 230234
PWSEP5

TROPICAL STORM NEWTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152022               
0300 UTC FRI SEP 23 2022                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NEWTON WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

ISLA SOCORRO   34 45  17(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  1   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   1( 1)  12(13)   4(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

20N 115W       34  X   1( 1)  18(19)  16(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
20N 115W       50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
20N 115W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

20N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG/JELSEMA                                          



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