Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Madeline Wind Speed Probabilities


575 
FOPZ14 KNHC 192031
PWSEP4

TROPICAL STORM MADELINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142022               
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD         
2100 UTC MON SEP 19 2022                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 110W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 115W       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

20N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BANN                                          




Source link