Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Madeline Public Advisory


000
WTPZ34 KNHC 181146
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Madeline Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP142022
600 AM MDT Sun Sep 18 2022

...HEAVY RAINS FROM MADELINE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE 
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 106.7W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Manzanillo northward to Cabo Corrientes

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case over the next 24 to 36
hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Madeline was
located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 106.7 West. Madeline is
moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). A gradual turn toward
the northwest and then the west is expected through early this week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible over the next day or
so. Weakening is forecast to begin later this week.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Madeline can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO
header WTPZ44 KNHC and on the web at
hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP4.shtml.

RAINFALL: Outer bands from Madeline are forecast to produce rainfall
totals of 3 to 6 inches with local maximum totals of 8 inches today
into Monday across mainly coastal portions of the following Mexican
States: Colima, Jalisco, and Nayarit.

These heavy rains may produce localized flash and urban flooding,
along with possible mudslides in areas of higher coastal terrain.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area today through Monday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Madeline will affect portions of the
southwest coast of Mexico for the next few days. High surf
associated with Madeline will spread northward and begin to affect
the coast of Baja California today into Monday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg



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