Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Madeline Forecast Advisory


727 
WTPZ24 KNHC 180258 CCA
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142022
0300 UTC SUN SEP 18 2022

CORRECTED TO UPDATE 12 FT SEAS

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 106.8W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE 110SE  70SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 330SE  270SW  0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 106.8W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 106.7W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.0N 107.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 110SE  80SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 19.2N 108.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 20.0N 109.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.5N 110.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 20.6N 111.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.7N 113.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 20.7N 115.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 20.7N 118.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 106.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO





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