Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Tropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory

Published Date and Time: 2024-10-04 10:40:57



000
WTNT23 KNHC 041440
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
1500 UTC FRI OCT 04 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N  33.0W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N  33.0W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.9N  32.7W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 10.3N  34.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 10.8N  35.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 11.4N  36.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 12.4N  37.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 13.8N  39.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.3N  40.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 18.2N  44.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 20.9N  47.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N  33.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY




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