Tropical Storm Joyce Forecast Advisory

917 
WTNT21 KNHC 290232
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112024
0300 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  47.5W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  20SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  30SE  45SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  47.5W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  47.1W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.6N  48.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.4N  49.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.1N  49.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 23.8N  49.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.8N  48.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 26.2N  48.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N  47.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG