418 WTPZ31 KNHC 032042 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Javier Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112022 200 PM PDT Sat Sep 03 2022 ...RAIN AND GUSTY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.0N 116.1W ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch for the west coast of Baja California Sur Mexico from Cabo San Lucas northward to Puerto San Andresito and the Tropical Storm Watch for the east coast of Baja California Sur Mexico from Cabo San Lucas northward to Bahia San Juan Bautista SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The west coast of Baja California Sur Mexico from Puerto San Andresito northward to Punta Eugenia A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case, within the next few hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was located near latitude 26.0 North, longitude 116.1 West. Javier is moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h) and is expected to gradually turn toward the west-northwest and west and slow in forward motion for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Javier should begin to move away from the coast of Baja California Sur this evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Javier is expected to gradually weaken over the next few days and become a post-tropical cyclone by early Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Javier can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1, WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC, and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP1.shtml. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of the warning area for the next couple of hours. SURF: Swells generated by Javier will continue to affect portions of the southern and central Baja California peninsula during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: Javier is expected to produce 1 to 2 inches of additional rainfall, with isolated storm total amounts of 5 inches across portions of Baja California Sur through tonight. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 500 PM PDT. Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Bucci/Reinhart