Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Javier Public Advisory


000
WTPZ31 KNHC 031146
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Javier Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP112022
600 AM MDT Sat Sep 03 2022

...JAVIER BRINGING HEAVY RAIN, GUSTY WINDS, AND ROUGH SURF TO 
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.5N 114.5W
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM WNW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The west coast of Baja California Sur Mexico from Cabo San Lucas
northward to Punta Eugenia
* The east coast of Baja California Sur Mexico from Cabo San Lucas
northward to Bahia San Juan Bautista

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case, within the next 12
hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Javier was
located near latitude 24.5 North, longitude 114.5 West. Javier is
moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). This general
motion is forecast to continue through today. A slow turn toward the
west-northwest to west is expected to begin early Sunday. On the
forecast track, the center of Javier should move generally parallel
to but well offshore the coast of Baja California Sur through
today, and then turn away from the coast on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Slight additional strengthening is possible this morning
before the tropical storm begins to weaken by this evening.  Javier
is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone on Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Javier can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1, WMO
header WTPZ41 KNHC, and on the web at
hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP1.shtml.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will be possible in squalls across
portions of southern Baja California Sur through today. Gusty
conditions are forecast to spread northward through the early 
afternoon.

SURF:  Swells generated by Javier will continue to affect portions
of the southern and central Baja California peninsula during the
next day or so.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your
local weather office.

RAINFALL:  Javier is expected to produce 1 to 2 inches of additional
rainfall, with isolated storm total amounts of 5 inches across
portions of Baja California Sur through today.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Bucci/Reinhart



Source link