Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Javier Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ21 KNHC 030852
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112022
0900 UTC SAT SEP 03 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR MEXICO FROM CABO SAN LUCAS
NORTHWARD TO PUNTA EUGENIA
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR MEXICO FROM CABO SAN LUCAS
NORTHWARD TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...WITHIN THE NEXT 12
TO 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 114.1W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  50SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 180SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 114.1W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 113.6W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 25.4N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 26.8N 118.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 27.3N 120.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 27.5N 123.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 27.3N 126.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.9N 128.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 26.5N 132.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 26.0N 134.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N 114.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 03/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




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