Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Javier Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ21 KNHC 030243
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112022
0300 UTC SAT SEP 03 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR MEXICO FROM CABO SAN LUCAS
NORTHWARD TO PUNTA EUGENIA
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR MEXICO FROM CABO SAN LUCAS
NORTHWARD TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...WITHIN THE NEXT 12
TO
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 113.2W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  80SE  50SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 113.2W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 112.8W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 24.6N 114.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 26.2N 116.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 27.1N 118.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 27.4N 121.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 27.5N 124.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 27.2N 126.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 27.0N 130.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 26.6N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 113.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 03/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY




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