Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Tropical Storm Helene Forecast Advisory

Published Date and Time: 2024-09-24 22:54:38



000
WTNT24 KNHC 250254
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092024
0300 UTC WED SEP 25 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  85.5W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  85.5W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  85.2W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.1N  86.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 22.7N  86.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...240NE 250SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.4N  85.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.5N  84.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  55SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  90SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 140SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 34.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 36.5N  86.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 37.0N  89.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N  85.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 25/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




Source link