Central Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Greg Wind Speed Probabilities



000
FOPA13 PHFO 141434
PWSCP3

TROPICAL STORM GREG WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3             
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP082023         
1500 UTC MON AUG 14 2023                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GREG WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
11.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                                          

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

10N 145W       34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

10N 150W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

15N 155W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)

10N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

10N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER GIBBS                                                    



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