Central Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Greg Wind Speed Probabilities



000
FOPA13 PHFO 152042
PWSCP3

TROPICAL STORM GREG WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8             
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP082023         
2100 UTC TUE AUG 15 2023                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GREG WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 147.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                                          

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

10N 150W       34  4   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

15N 150W       34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

15N 155W       34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

10N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

10N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER WROE                                                     



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