Tropical Storm Gilma Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 182041
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072024
2100 UTC SUN AUG 18 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 112.3W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 112.3W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 111.8W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 15.1N 114.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.6N 116.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.9N 118.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.2N 119.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.6N 121.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.9N 122.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 17.7N 125.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 18.6N 127.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 112.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI