Tropical Storm Gilma Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 202056
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072024
2100 UTC TUE AUG 20 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 120.6W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 100SE 120SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 150SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 120.6W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 120.2W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.3N 121.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.6N 123.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE  90SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.0N 124.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.5N 125.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.9N 126.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.4N 128.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 19.0N 130.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 19.8N 134.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 120.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI