Pacific Hurricane Feed

Tropical Storm Gilma Forecast Advisory

Published Date and Time: 2024-08-19 16:39:51



224 
WTPZ22 KNHC 192039
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072024
2100 UTC MON AUG 19 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 116.9W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 20NE  40SE  70SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 116.9W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 116.5W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.5N 118.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  80SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.2N 120.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE 100SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.7N 122.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE 100SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.2N 123.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.8N 124.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE 100SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 18.3N 126.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 19.0N 127.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  90SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 20.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 116.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY





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