Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Frank Forecast Advisory


848 
WTPZ22 KNHC 270237
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM FRANK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072022
0300 UTC WED JUL 27 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 104.2W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 104.2W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 103.8W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 12.1N 105.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 12.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  70SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 12.9N 109.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  90SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 13.3N 111.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 13.9N 113.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 14.5N 115.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 120SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 16.5N 118.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 18.9N 121.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 104.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BUCCI





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