Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Tropical Storm Francine Wind Speed Probabilities

Published Date and Time: 2024-09-09 22:31:05



393 
FONT11 KNHC 100230
PWSAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062024               
0300 UTC TUE SEP 10 2024                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

WHITING FLD FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PENSACOLA FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GFMX 290N 870W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

MOBILE AL      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)

GULFPORT MS    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   7(19)   X(19)   X(19)

STENNIS MS     34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  15(19)   9(28)   X(28)   X(28)
STENNIS MS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BURAS LA       34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  16(21)   4(25)   X(25)   X(25)
BURAS LA       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GFMX 280N 890W 34  X   X( X)  11(11)  14(25)   2(27)   X(27)   X(27)

JACKSON MS     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)  19(29)   X(29)   X(29)
JACKSON MS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  32(38)   9(47)   X(47)   X(47)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

HOUMA LA       34  X   2( 2)   8(10)  41(51)   6(57)   X(57)   X(57)
HOUMA LA       50  X   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   2(17)   X(17)   X(17)
HOUMA LA       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GFMX 280N 910W 34  X  10(10)  32(42)  23(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
GFMX 280N 910W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   9(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)
GFMX 280N 910W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  50(57)  13(70)   X(70)   X(70)
BATON ROUGE LA 50  X   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)   8(28)   X(28)   X(28)
BATON ROUGE LA 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MORGAN CITY LA 34  X   3( 3)  10(13)  52(65)   5(70)   1(71)   X(71)
MORGAN CITY LA 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  25(26)   4(30)   1(31)   X(31)
MORGAN CITY LA 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  35(40)  13(53)   X(53)   X(53)
ALEXANDRIA LA  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)
ALEXANDRIA LA  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   3( 3)   9(12)  57(69)   9(78)   X(78)   X(78)
LAFAYETTE LA   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  31(32)   6(38)   1(39)   X(39)
LAFAYETTE LA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   3( 3)  11(14)  58(72)   6(78)   X(78)   X(78)
NEW IBERIA LA  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  35(36)   6(42)   X(42)   X(42)
NEW IBERIA LA  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

GFMX 280N 930W 34  6  18(24)  61(85)  10(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
GFMX 280N 930W 50  X   4( 4)  54(58)  16(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
GFMX 280N 930W 64  X   X( X)  33(33)  14(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)

SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)

FORT POLK LA   34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  31(38)   7(45)   X(45)   X(45)
FORT POLK LA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)

LAKE CHARLES   34  X   5( 5)  13(18)  46(64)   4(68)   X(68)   X(68)
LAKE CHARLES   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  19(20)   2(22)   X(22)   X(22)
LAKE CHARLES   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CAMERON LA     34  X  11(11)  38(49)  36(85)   2(87)   X(87)   X(87)
CAMERON LA     50  X   X( X)  10(10)  35(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)
CAMERON LA     64  X   X( X)   2( 2)  19(21)   2(23)   X(23)   X(23)

JASPER TX      34  X   3( 3)   5( 8)  20(28)   3(31)   X(31)   X(31)
JASPER TX      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

KOUNTZE TX     34  X   5( 5)   8(13)  22(35)   1(36)   X(36)   X(36)
KOUNTZE TX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   5( 5)  19(24)  29(53)   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

GALVESTON TX   34  5  11(16)  41(57)  10(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
GALVESTON TX   50  X   1( 1)   9(10)   7(17)   X(17)   1(18)   X(18)
GALVESTON TX   64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

HOUSTON TX     34  1   5( 6)   9(15)   6(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)

AUSTIN TX      34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SAN ANTONIO TX 34  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

FREEPORT TX    34  2   8(10)  26(36)   4(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
FREEPORT TX    50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GFMX 280N 950W 34  7  43(50)  37(87)   2(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  X   9( 9)  31(40)   2(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
GFMX 280N 950W 64  X   1( 1)  17(18)   2(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34  1   6( 7)  28(35)  20(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)
HIGH ISLAND TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

MATAGORDA TX   34  6  18(24)  24(48)   2(50)   1(51)   X(51)   X(51)
MATAGORDA TX   50  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

PORT O CONNOR  34  7  21(28)  15(43)   2(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
PORT O CONNOR  50  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

ROCKPORT TX    34  2  12(14)   4(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

CORPUS CHRISTI 34  2   9(11)   3(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

GFMX 270N 960W 34 28  57(85)   5(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
GFMX 270N 960W 50  1  23(24)   6(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
GFMX 270N 960W 64  X   7( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

MCALLEN TX     34  6   6(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

HARLINGEN TX   34 21  10(31)   1(32)   1(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)

BROWNSVILLE TX 34 52   9(61)   1(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)

GFMX 250N 960W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 250N 960W 50 74  13(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
GFMX 250N 960W 64 15  19(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)

LA PESCA MX    34  4   5( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

TAMPICO MX     34  2   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

TUXPAN MX      34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               



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