Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Fiona Forecast Advisory


248 
WTNT22 KNHC 162047
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072022
2100 UTC FRI SEP 16 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...MONTSERRAT...AND ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* GUADELOUPE...ST. BARTHELEMY...AND ST. MARTIN
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO
BARAHONA
* NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO
CABO FRANCES VIEJO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
FIONA.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED TONIGHT OR
ON SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  61.1W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE  75SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  61.1W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  60.4W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.8N  62.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.2N  64.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.6N  66.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.2N  68.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.8N  69.2W...OVER DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.6N  70.2W...OVER DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  30SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 21.6N  71.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 23.6N  72.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  61.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 17/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





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