119 WTPZ21 KNHC 162033 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062022 2100 UTC SAT JUL 16 2022 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 104.4W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 45SE 45SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 104.4W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 103.9W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.7N 105.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.5N 107.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 16.2N 109.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 16.8N 111.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.2N 113.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.9N 116.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 19.5N 121.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 21.5N 125.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 104.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART